{"id":4550,"date":"2026-10-26T06:42:07","date_gmt":"2026-10-26T09:42:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.blogsoestado.com\/joaquimhaickel\/?p=4550"},"modified":"2026-10-26T06:42:09","modified_gmt":"2026-10-26T09:42:09","slug":"alea-iacta-est-de-novo","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs2.blogsoestado.com\/joaquimhaickel\/2026\/10\/26\/alea-iacta-est-de-novo\/","title":{"rendered":"Alea iacta est, de novo"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.blogsoestado.com\/joaquimhaickel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2026\/10\/Alea-iacta-est-de-novo-1024x683-1.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4551\" style=\"width:690px;height:auto\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Nem comentarei o fato de um ministro do STF, ex-advogado de um dos candidatos \u00e0 Presid\u00eancia da Rep\u00fablica, ter prorrogado o hor\u00e1rio de vota\u00e7\u00e3o no segundo turno das elei\u00e7\u00f5es. Tampouco tratarei, neste momento, das acusa\u00e7\u00f5es de fraude e de golpe eleitoral que, caso comprovadas, configurariam crimes contra o Estado Democr\u00e1tico de Direito. Deixo essas quest\u00f5es para os advogados do candidato que se considera prejudicado por tais manobras.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O que farei \u00e9 comentar, com voc\u00ea que me prestigia com sua leitura, algo relacionado ao que venho escrevendo quase diariamente sobre pol\u00edtica. Penso que ontem consegui produzir um dos mais importantes desses textos. Reproduzirei aqui, entre aspas, alguns de seus trechos, para que fique muito claro o problema que previ que ter\u00edamos de enfrentar:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201c[&#8230;] O que posso assegurar \u00e9 que o eleito herdar\u00e1 um pa\u00eds quase destru\u00eddo, com grav\u00edssimos problemas econ\u00f4micos, financeiros, fiscais, sociais e institucionais. Herdar\u00e1 tamb\u00e9m uma na\u00e7\u00e3o dividida quase exatamente ao meio, o que limitar\u00e1 consideravelmente sua capacidade de manobra.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Posso garantir que o pr\u00f3ximo presidente precisar\u00e1 ser muito cauteloso, s\u00e1bio, ponderado, consciencioso, compreensivo, generoso e altru\u00edsta. Precisar\u00e1 tamb\u00e9m ser \u00edntegro, honrado, justo, humilde, corajoso, sereno, respons\u00e1vel, tolerante e dotado da nobreza e do esp\u00edrito p\u00fablico indispens\u00e1veis ao exerc\u00edcio de t\u00e3o elevada miss\u00e3o. Ter\u00e1 a miss\u00e3o de pacificar o pa\u00eds, pois somente assim ter\u00e1 alguma possibilidade de alcan\u00e7ar sucesso em sua empreitada. E eu tor\u00e7o por esse sucesso, assim como todo brasileiro que realmente deseja ver nosso pa\u00eds melhorar e nosso povo ser feliz. [&#8230;]\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Voc\u00ea, que me l\u00ea agora, pode e deve perguntar se realmente acredito que aquilo que est\u00e1 dito nos par\u00e1grafos anteriores possa acontecer. Eu lhe responderia, honestamente, que n\u00e3o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">N\u00e3o acredito que isso possa acontecer, nem com o resultado desta elei\u00e7\u00e3o, nem caso o resultado tivesse sido outro. Na verdade, nunca tive ilus\u00f5es quanto \u00e0 possibilidade de nosso pa\u00eds experimentar melhorias reais. A \u00fanica diferen\u00e7a \u00e9 que, se o resultado tivesse sido outro, eu ainda acalentaria a esperan\u00e7a de que a simples mudan\u00e7a pudesse trazer alguma melhora. Agora, diante do resultado, tenho a convic\u00e7\u00e3o de que nada melhorar\u00e1 e de que tudo ficar\u00e1 ainda pior.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Vejam bem: quem me conhece sabe que sou um otimista inveterado. E estou sendo otimista agora, ao dizer apenas que tudo vai piorar. Por a\u00ed, voc\u00eas podem imaginar o que realmente penso que acontecer\u00e1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A sorte est\u00e1 lan\u00e7ada.*<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">*A express\u00e3o latina <em>Alea iacta est<\/em> significa literalmente \u201co dado foi lan\u00e7ado\u201d e \u00e9 tradicionalmente traduzida como \u201ca sorte est\u00e1 lan\u00e7ada\u201d. Ela indica que uma decis\u00e3o irrevers\u00edvel foi tomada e que, a partir daquele momento, ser\u00e1 necess\u00e1rio enfrentar todas as suas consequ\u00eancias, sejam elas favor\u00e1veis ou desastrosas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nem comentarei o fato de um ministro do STF, ex-advogado de um dos candidatos \u00e0 Presid\u00eancia da Rep\u00fablica, ter prorrogado [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4550","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.7 - 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