{"id":4502,"date":"2026-10-03T15:37:48","date_gmt":"2026-10-03T18:37:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.blogsoestado.com\/joaquimhaickel\/?p=4502"},"modified":"2026-10-03T15:37:50","modified_gmt":"2026-10-03T18:37:50","slug":"um-possivel-cenario-para-as-eleicoes-legislativas-no-maranhao","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs2.blogsoestado.com\/joaquimhaickel\/2026\/10\/03\/um-possivel-cenario-para-as-eleicoes-legislativas-no-maranhao\/","title":{"rendered":"Um poss\u00edvel cen\u00e1rio para as elei\u00e7\u00f5es legislativas no Maranh\u00e3o"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Como fa\u00e7o sempre que posso em \u00e9poca de elei\u00e7\u00f5es, apresento o levantamento que realizei, com a ajuda de alguns amigos, sobre as possibilidades de preenchimento das cadeiras destinadas ao Maranh\u00e3o no Senado Federal e na C\u00e2mara dos Deputados, bem como das vagas na Assembleia Legislativa do Estado.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ressalto que n\u00e3o se trata de pesquisa eleitoral nem de simples palpite. \u00c9 um estudo elaborado com base em informa\u00e7\u00f5es sobre o desempenho de candidatos, partidos e federa\u00e7\u00f5es, com o objetivo de projetar um poss\u00edvel cen\u00e1rio para a forma\u00e7\u00e3o das bancadas maranhenses no Senado Federal, na C\u00e2mara dos Deputados e na Assembleia Legislativa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Advirto que minha inten\u00e7\u00e3o n\u00e3o \u00e9 estar necessariamente certo nem acertar todos os nomes de uma lista. O que pretendo \u00e9 reunir e analisar dados que permitam identificar as tend\u00eancias pol\u00edticas para a composi\u00e7\u00e3o de nossa representa\u00e7\u00e3o legislativa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00c9 preciso fazer ainda uma ressalva importante: tendo em vista a varia\u00e7\u00e3o na quantidade de votos v\u00e1lidos e a consequente altera\u00e7\u00e3o nos c\u00e1lculos para a distribui\u00e7\u00e3o das vagas, \u00e9 poss\u00edvel que ocorram mudan\u00e7as de uma ou duas cadeiras de deputado federal e de tr\u00eas ou quatro cadeiras de deputado estadual.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-gallery has-nested-images columns-default is-cropped wp-block-gallery-1 is-layout-flex wp-block-gallery-is-layout-flex\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"819\" height=\"1024\" data-id=\"4503\" src=\"https:\/\/www.blogsoestado.com\/joaquimhaickel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2026\/10\/card_1_deputados_estaduais_cadeiras-819x1024.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4503\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blogs2.blogsoestado.com\/joaquimhaickel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2026\/10\/card_1_deputados_estaduais_cadeiras-819x1024.png 819w, https:\/\/blogs2.blogsoestado.com\/joaquimhaickel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2026\/10\/card_1_deputados_estaduais_cadeiras-240x300.png 240w, https:\/\/blogs2.blogsoestado.com\/joaquimhaickel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2026\/10\/card_1_deputados_estaduais_cadeiras-768x960.png 768w, https:\/\/blogs2.blogsoestado.com\/joaquimhaickel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2026\/10\/card_1_deputados_estaduais_cadeiras.png 1080w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 819px) 100vw, 819px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"819\" height=\"1024\" data-id=\"4507\" src=\"https:\/\/www.blogsoestado.com\/joaquimhaickel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2026\/10\/card_2_deputados_estaduais_nomes-819x1024.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4507\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blogs2.blogsoestado.com\/joaquimhaickel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2026\/10\/card_2_deputados_estaduais_nomes-819x1024.png 819w, https:\/\/blogs2.blogsoestado.com\/joaquimhaickel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2026\/10\/card_2_deputados_estaduais_nomes-240x300.png 240w, https:\/\/blogs2.blogsoestado.com\/joaquimhaickel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2026\/10\/card_2_deputados_estaduais_nomes-768x960.png 768w, https:\/\/blogs2.blogsoestado.com\/joaquimhaickel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2026\/10\/card_2_deputados_estaduais_nomes.png 1080w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 819px) 100vw, 819px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"819\" height=\"1024\" data-id=\"4504\" src=\"https:\/\/www.blogsoestado.com\/joaquimhaickel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2026\/10\/card_3_deputados_federais_cadeiras-819x1024.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4504\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blogs2.blogsoestado.com\/joaquimhaickel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2026\/10\/card_3_deputados_federais_cadeiras-819x1024.png 819w, https:\/\/blogs2.blogsoestado.com\/joaquimhaickel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2026\/10\/card_3_deputados_federais_cadeiras-240x300.png 240w, https:\/\/blogs2.blogsoestado.com\/joaquimhaickel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2026\/10\/card_3_deputados_federais_cadeiras-768x960.png 768w, https:\/\/blogs2.blogsoestado.com\/joaquimhaickel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2026\/10\/card_3_deputados_federais_cadeiras.png 1080w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 819px) 100vw, 819px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"819\" height=\"1024\" data-id=\"4506\" src=\"https:\/\/www.blogsoestado.com\/joaquimhaickel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2026\/10\/card_4_deputados_federais_nomes-819x1024.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4506\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blogs2.blogsoestado.com\/joaquimhaickel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2026\/10\/card_4_deputados_federais_nomes-819x1024.png 819w, https:\/\/blogs2.blogsoestado.com\/joaquimhaickel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2026\/10\/card_4_deputados_federais_nomes-240x300.png 240w, https:\/\/blogs2.blogsoestado.com\/joaquimhaickel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2026\/10\/card_4_deputados_federais_nomes-768x960.png 768w, https:\/\/blogs2.blogsoestado.com\/joaquimhaickel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2026\/10\/card_4_deputados_federais_nomes.png 1080w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 819px) 100vw, 819px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"819\" height=\"1024\" data-id=\"4505\" src=\"https:\/\/www.blogsoestado.com\/joaquimhaickel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2026\/10\/card_5_senado_observacao-819x1024.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4505\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blogs2.blogsoestado.com\/joaquimhaickel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2026\/10\/card_5_senado_observacao-819x1024.png 819w, https:\/\/blogs2.blogsoestado.com\/joaquimhaickel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2026\/10\/card_5_senado_observacao-240x300.png 240w, https:\/\/blogs2.blogsoestado.com\/joaquimhaickel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2026\/10\/card_5_senado_observacao-768x960.png 768w, https:\/\/blogs2.blogsoestado.com\/joaquimhaickel\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2026\/10\/card_5_senado_observacao.png 1080w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 819px) 100vw, 819px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Como fa\u00e7o sempre que posso em \u00e9poca de elei\u00e7\u00f5es, apresento o levantamento que realizei, com a ajuda de alguns amigos, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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